KINGSTON, Jamaica — Although Tropical Storm Rafael is shifting away from Jamaica’s western coast, the island continues to face intense gusty winds, heavy rain, and the risk of flash flooding. According to the latest advisory from the Meteorological Service of Jamaica, a tropical storm warning remains in effect as Rafael’s impacts are still very much felt across the island.
As of 7:00 a.m. Tuesday, the storm’s center was approximately 130 kilometers (80 miles) south-southwest of Montego Bay and 180 kilometers (110 miles) south of Negril Point. Rafael is tracking northwest at a speed of roughly 20 km/h (13 mph), with expectations that it will move closer to the Cayman Islands by Tuesday night and approach western Cuba by Wednesday.
The Met Service warns that Rafael, with maximum sustained winds of 95 km/h (60 mph) and gusts reaching higher speeds, could quickly intensify into a hurricane over the next 24 to 36 hours. Winds extend outward up to 165 kilometers (105 miles) from the storm’s center, emphasizing the widespread impact across Jamaica’s southern and western regions.
Persistent Rainfall and Flooding Threats
Rainfall has reached over 75 millimeters (three inches) in some areas, especially in southern parishes, and reports indicate isolated flooding events. Projections indicate that these heavy showers—likely accumulating up to 150 millimeters (six inches) in some areas—will spread throughout the day. Flash flooding remains a serious risk, particularly in flood-prone areas, and residents in elevated regions should be alert to potential landslides.
Safety Reminders
The Met Service strongly advises Jamaicans to stay informed, especially those in vulnerable areas. Small craft operators should remain in safe harbor as turbulent sea conditions and hazardous winds persist. Only after conditions stabilize and all warnings are lifted should operators resume activities.
As Rafael moves on, Jamaica remains vigilant, monitoring any additional hazards. Residents should stay tuned to official updates and prepare for lingering effects until Rafael fully departs from the region.